Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000069 0.000080 0.000091 0.000104 0.000118 0.000133 0.000149
2024-12-15 0.000057 0.000071 0.000086 0.000105 0.000126 0.000149 0.000177
2024-12-22 0.000047 0.000063 0.000081 0.000104 0.000130 0.000161 0.000198
2024-12-29 0.000040 0.000056 0.000077 0.000103 0.000134 0.000171 0.000217
2025-01-05 0.000034 0.000051 0.000073 0.000102 0.000138 0.000181 0.000235
2025-01-12 0.000028 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000139 0.000187 0.000248
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000040 0.000063 0.000095 0.000137 0.000189 0.000258
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000036 0.000059 0.000093 0.000137 0.000194 0.000269
2025-02-02 0.000018 0.000035 0.000059 0.000095 0.000144 0.000206 0.000290
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000094 0.000146 0.000213 0.000304
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000033 0.000059 0.000099 0.000156 0.000230 0.000331
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000030 0.000057 0.000098 0.000158 0.000236 0.000345
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000027 0.000054 0.000096 0.000159 0.000243 0.000361
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000025 0.000052 0.000096 0.000163 0.000253 0.000381
2025-03-16 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000095 0.000164 0.000260 0.000397
2025-03-23 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000094 0.000167 0.000268 0.000415
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000019 0.000046 0.000093 0.000169 0.000276 0.000432
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000017 0.000043 0.000091 0.000168 0.000280 0.000444
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000015 0.000040 0.000087 0.000165 0.000280 0.000451
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000085 0.000165 0.000283 0.000462
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000013 0.000037 0.000087 0.000171 0.000297 0.000487
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000086 0.000173 0.000305 0.000505
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000091 0.000184 0.000324 0.000539